Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 3 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 16 March 2026 at 00:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 9 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:57PM CDT until March 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 48 · 11.1 km
- July 11, 2026 · score 43 · 20.2 km
How we know
5 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.
Our own score for this event is 46 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Critical |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 46 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.68/1 |
| Coordinates | 35.6781, -90.1790 |
| Nearest City | Jonesboro (50 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 0 within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | minor |
| Timestamp | 2026-03-15T23:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Tornado Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cff01f3b05de3e7f56dedbcf9a31d54f |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-03-15T23:57:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-03-16T00:03:31.709Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Tornado Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Fulton, KY; New Madrid, MO; Stoddard, MO; Mississippi, AR; Pemiscot, MO; Dyer, TN; Lauderdale, TN; Mississippi, AR; Dunklin, MO; Pemiscot, MO and 5 more areas |
| Headline | Tornado Warning issued March 15 at 6:57PM CDT until March 15 at 7:30PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-03-15T19:30:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 8 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.cff01f3b05de3e7f56dedbcf9a31d54f0353c801.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b23480b2bfcd2ffc1b2fb0082d16ebb044fa0385.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.efef6bdad9de0127a2909a5ff062a4132f8535e8.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bae6551ef2852793ce2ec0bd25f1bf801eb45062.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.51039ec4a5daa52d4fc2724e01d242c08cd3331b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.040a356e0718e059624c88f81ed030762d92d972.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1c3b0d86f010ba2a7fec63e0dbfd9fb236b9353b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.766058fa219f0fae431fe28b158f8de65a699bce.001.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | wind |
| Spc Speed | 75 |
| Spc Location | 2 ENE Jonesboro |
| Spc County | Craighead |
| Spc State | AR |
| Spc Comments | (MEG) |
| Iem TypeSummary | G |
| Iem Magnitude | 75 |
| Iem Unit | MPH |
| Iem City | 2 ENE Jonesboro |
Safety Information
If a tornado warning is issued: go to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor, away from windows. A vehicle and a mobile home are not shelter. Cover your head and neck. Wait for the official all-clear before going outside, and watch for downed power lines and gas leaks afterwards.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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